Za 5 lat chmura będzie powszechna jak Internet
Do 2019 r. wartość polskiego rynku rozwiązań chmurowych wzrośnie blisko 3-krotnie, do 450 mln dol. – według IDC. Na świecie wydatki mają zwiększać się co roku o 15 proc.

Jak szacuje IDC, w ub.r. firmy na całym świecie wydały na rozwiązania chmurowe 32,6 mld dol., o 24 proc. więcej niż w 2014 r. Do 2020 r. obroty mają rosnąć w tempie średnio 15 proc., co oznacza, że będą stanowiły połowę nakładów firm na IT.
Także polski rynek rozwiązań chmurowych zgodnie z raportem IDC wygląda obiecująco. Według szacunków w 2014 r. jego wartość wynosiła 130 mln dol., o 35 proc. więcej niż w 2013 r. Prognozy dotyczące 2015 r. mówiły o 160 mln dol., a 2019 r. – 450 mln dol. Oznacza to, że wydatki na usługi cloud rosną kilkukrotnie szybciej niż na tradycyjne usługi IT. IDC ocenia, że obecnie chmura odpowiada za ok. 4 proc. rynku usług IT, a w 2019 r. będzie to 11 proc.
Rynek rozwiązań cloud jest obecnie zdominowany przez chmurę publiczną – odpowiada ona za 3 wydatków, zaś chmura prywatna – za 1. Z kolei w chmurze prywatnej największe obroty generuje SaaS (oprogramowanie jako usługa), które odpowiada za 62 proc. przychodów, a następnie PaaS (platforma jako usługa – 10 proc.) oraz IaaS (infrastruktura jako usługa – ok. 28 proc.).
IDC podaje, że na świecie na infrastrukturę dla prywatnych chmur przedsiębiorstwa przeznaczą ok. 12 mld dol. (wzrost o 15,8 proc. r/r), a na zakup technologii związanych z chmurą publiczną – 20,5 mld dol. (wzrost o blisko 30 proc. r/r).
Według raportu Gartnera wszystkie firmy, które do 2020 r. nie będą korzystać z chmury w swojej organizacji, będą porównywalne do firm, które w ogóle nie mają Internetu.
Obecnie trudno precyzyjnie określić, ilu użytkowników korzysta z rozwiązań chmurowych, jednak ich liczba bez wątpienia rośnie. Klientów można podzielić na tych, którzy już zainwestowali w IT, oraz tych, którzy kupują taką usługę, żeby móc rozpocząć działalność gospodarczą.
Jak ocenia Patrick Opas, odpowiadający za dywizję chmurową w IBM, przyszłością usług cloud jest chmura hybrydowa, łącząca chmurę prywatną i publiczną. W ten sposób można wydzielać elementy, które pozostaną we własnych zasobach firm (np. dane wrażliwe), od tych, które trafią do centrum danych zewnętrznego dostawcy.
– Więcej będzie rozwiązań hybrydowych, z których klient już korzysta i amortyzuje zakupiony sprzęt. Do tego dołoży chmurę publiczną – uważa ekspert.
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