Klasyczne PC w odwrocie
Sprzedaż sprzętu wzrośnie, ale na tradycyjne desktopy i notebooki będzie coraz mniej chętnych.

Wydatki na sprzęt dla użytkownika końcowego (komputery, tablety i telefony komórkowe) wzrosną o 7 proc. w 2018 r. Ilościowo wynik będzie 1,3 proc. na plusie po spadku o 3 proc. w 2017 r. – prognozuje Gartner.
Poprawa jest związana ze wzrostem średnich cen sprzedaży. W ub.r. zwiększyły się o 9,1 proc., a w br. będą wyższe o kolejne 5,6 proc. – twierdzą analitycy. Komputery podrożeją przeciętnie o 4,6 proc., ale pomimo to sprzedaż ilościowa powinna być podobna jak w ub.r., ze względu na popyt w sektorze biznesowym. Aczkolwiek na klasyczne notebooki i desktopy będzie mniej chętnych niż w ub.r. (-3,9 proc.), a więcej na ultracienkie laptopy i modele 2 w 1.
Analitycy spodziewają się, że wydłuży się cykl życia telefonów w latach 2017-2020. Będzie to dotyczyć także modeli premium. Użytkownicy nie będą palić się do ich wymiany na nowe urządzenia, z uwagi na na niewiele innowacji.
Dopiero po 2020 r. nowinki takie jak wykorzystanie sztucznej inteligencji w smartfonach i bezproblemowe uwierzytelnianie (nowoczesny telefon zastąpi dokumenty, portfel i klucze) powinny bardziej zachęcić klientów do zakupów.
Dostawy sprzętu na świecie w latach 2016 – 2019 (mln szt.)
Typ urządzenia | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
Tradycyjny komputer (desktop i notebook) | 220 | 204 | 196 | 189 |
Ultramobilne premium (jak 2 w 1 i ultracienkie laptopy) | 50 | 58 | 67 | 77 |
Rynek PC łącznie | 270 | 263 | 263 | 266 |
Ultramobilne podstawowe i użytkowe (w tym tablety) | 169 | 158 | 159 | 159 |
Cały rynek urządzeń komputerowych | 439 | 420 | 422 | 425 |
Telefony komórkowe | 1893 | 1841 | 1870 | 1892 |
Cały rynek urządzeń | 2332 | 2262 | 2292 | 2317 |
Źródło: Gartner
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