Ceny pamięci na równi pochyłej
Jest prognoza na II kw. br.

Ceny kontraktowe DRAM będą topnieć w całej I poł. 2019 r. ze względu na utrzymującą się nadpodaż – przewiduje DRAMeXchange, dywizja TrendForce.
W całym I kw. br. szacunkowo stawki za DRAM zanurkują o 20 proc. wobec IV kw. ub.r. W II kw. br.zmniejszą się średnio o kolejne 15 proc. wobec I kw. br.
Główne powody to duże zapasy podzespołów i słaby popyt. Pomimo pewnego ożywienia na rynku nadpodaż utrzyma się, ponieważ potrzebny jest dłuższy okres, aby rozładować magazyny.
DRAMeXchange przewiduje się, że w całym 2019 r. niepewność gospodarcza na świecie nadal będzie przyczyniać się do ograniczania zamówień. Wprawdzie zmniejszono produkcję DRAM, ale to nie wystarczy, aby powstrzymać spadki cen. Ulegną one jednak spowolnieniu w kolejnych kilku kwartałach – według prognozy.
W I kw. br. ceny komputerowych DRAM zanurkują szacunkowo o ok. 25 proc. wobec IV kw. ub.r., w II kw. br. – o kolejne 15 proc. Obecnie średnia cena kontraktowa głównych modułów 8 GB PC zmierza do poziomu 45 dol.
Ceny DRAM do serwerów spadną w największej skali – odpowiednio o blisko 30 proc. oraz 15 proc.
Konsumenckie pamięci sprzedawane luzem będą tańsze o 20 proc. w I kw. i kolejne 15 proc. w II kw.
Generalnie widoczne będzie więc spowolnienie spadków cen DRAM i taki trend jest przewidywany w kolejnych kwartałach.
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